The Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

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Ginge01
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The Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

Post by Ginge01 » Wed Mar 27, 2024 4:24 am

Southport had the big result tonight, winning 4-1 at Bishop’s Stortford to now be 8 points clear of fourth bottom Rushall. A disappointing night for Peterborough who failed to win any home points with a loss to Warrington. Banbury also lost and are mired in a nine game losing streak.
On to Good Friday football.

Tonight’s games for the Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

Banbury ...... 0-3 South Shields
Peterborough 1-3 Warrington
Southport .... 4-1 Bishop’s Stortford


The Vanarama National League North, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024
.......................... Pd . W D L .. W D L .. F . A .GD. Pts
15. Southport ........ 41.. 6 4 11 .. 9 3 .8. 51 69. -18.. 52
16. Blyth .............. 41.. 7 6 .7 .. 6 5 10. 61 65. .-4.. 50
17. King’s Lynn ....... 40.. 5 8 .7 .. 7 6 .7. 49 57. .-8.. 50
18. Peterborough .... 40.. 6 5 .9 .. 7 5 .8. 49 56. -.9.. 49
19. Farsley ............ 40.. 6 6 .8 .. 5 7 .8. 35 52. -17.. 46
20. Darlington ........ 41.. 6 7 .7 .. 7 0 14 44 67.. -23.. 46

21. Rushall ............ 40.. 6 5 .9 .. 6 3 11 54 68. .-14.. 44
22. Banbury ........... 39.. 4 4 11 .. 6 3 11 33 68. -35.. 37
23. Gloucester ........ 40.. 6 3 11 .. 3 5 12 45 72. -27.. 35

24. Bishop’s Stortford 39.. 4 0 17 .. 1 2 15 31 91. -60.. 17


Comments in current league table order, Bottom Ten opponents in upper case

Southport
Southport 4-1 Bishop’s Stortford; Remaining Fixtures; 29/03 FARSLEY (a), 01/04 Scunthorpe (h), 06/04 DARLINGTON (a), 13/04 RUSHALL (h), 20/04 South Shields (a). Southport had a nice night, scoring three times in the first half after 37, 39 and 42 mins. Despite conceding a second half goal after 74 mins, Southport cruised to victory, adding a 90+4 min goal to win 4-1. Southport rise three places to 15th position. Darlington will be hoping Southport’s good form carries over to their home game against Farsley this Friday.

Blyth
No game tonight; Remaining fixtures; 29/03 Curzon Ashton (h), 01/04 Chorley (a), 06/04 RUSHALL (h), 13/04 Scunthorpe (a), 20/04 Brackley (h). Due to Southport’s win tonight, Blyth fall one place to 16th position.

Kings Lynn
No game tonight; Remaining fixtures; 29/03 Scunthorpe (a), 01/04 Scarborough (h), 06/04 BANBURY (a), 09/04 Chorley (h), 13/04 PETERBOROUGH (h), 20/04 Spennymoor (a). Due to Southport’s win tonight, King’s Lynn fall one place to 17th position.

Peterborough
Peterborough 2-2 Blyth; Remaining fixtures; 29/03 Boston (a), 01/04 GLOUCESTER (h), 06/04 FARSLEY (a), 09/04 FARSLEY (h), 13/04 KING’S LYNN (a), 20/04 Chorley (h). Peterborough were unable to capitalise on a home midweek game to pull away from the bottom four tonight. They trailed at half time 0-1 from an 18th min goal, conceding again after 51 mins before rallying with a goal after 66 mins. They were unable to tie the score before Warrington sealed the win with an 89th min goal. Due to Southport’s win tonight and Peterborough’s loss, Peterborough fall one place to 18th position.

Farsley
No game tonight; Remaining fixtures; 29/03 SOUTHPORT (h), 01/04 Spennymoor (a), 06/04 PETERBOROUGH (h), 09/04 PETERBOROUGH (a), 13/04 DARLINGTON (a), 20/04 Buxton (h). Farsley remain in 19th position.

Darlington
No game tonight; Remaining fixtures; 29/03 Chorley (h), 01/04 Warrington (a), 06/04 SOUTHPORT (h), 13/04 FARSLEY (h), 20/04 Chester (a). Darlington remain in 20th position.

Rushall
No game tonight; Remaining fixtures; 29/03 Alfreton (a), 01/04 Boston (h), 06/04 BLYTH (a), 09/04 BISHOP'S STORTFORD (h), 13/04 SOUTHPORT (a), 20/04 Warrington (h). A huge result for Rushall, beating Darlington who they are chasing to get out of the bottom four. Rushall remain in 21st position on 44 points, two points behind Farsley and Darlington, both on 46 points, Rushall have a game in hand on Darlington.

Banbury
Banbury 0-3 South Shields; Remaining fixtures; 29/03 Hereford (h), 01/04 BISHOP'S STORTFORD (a), 06/04 KING'S LYNN (h), 09/04 Spennymoor (a), 13/04 Chorley (a), 16/04 Boston (h), 20/04 Tamworth (h). Banbury has now lost nine straight games, falling behind to Curzon goals after 36 mins to trail 0-1 at half time. In the second half, they conceded goals after 52 and 75 mins in this 0-3 loss. Banbury remain in 22nd position.

Gloucester
No game tonight; Remaining fixtures; 29/03 Brackley (h), 01/04 PETERBOROUGH (a), 06/04 Chester (h), 13/04 Curzon (a), 20/04 Scunthorpe (h). Gloucester remain in 23rd position.

Bishop’s Stortford
Southport 4-1 Bishop’s Stortford; Remaining fixtures; 29/03 Tamworth (a), 01/04 BANBURY (h), 06/04 South Shields (a), 09/04 RUSHALL (a), 13/04 Buxton (a), 20/04 Curzon (h). Bishop’s pointless 2024 continues with them conceding three goals in the first half. In the second half they scored after 74 mins but conceded an injury time goal to lose 1-4.


The biggest games that can influence who goes down.
I’ve included Banbury, Gloucester or Bishop’s Stortford games as opposing teams should take advantage of them and get three points in those games.
06/04 is going to be a huge weekend with four big games involving eight Bottom Ten teams, 13/04 has three big games involving six Bottom Ten teams.
On Friday, Darlington need to play well and get a result against Chorley, hoping Southport can beat Farsley and Alfreton can beat Rushall.

29/03 FARSLEY vs SOUTHPORT

01/04 PETERBOROUGH vs GLOUCESTER

06/04 BANBURY vs KING'S LYNN
06/04 BLYTH vs RUSHALL
06/04 DARLINGTON vs SOUTHPORT
06/04 FARSLEY vs PETERBOROUGH

09/04 PETERBOROUGH vs FARSLEY
09/04 RUSHALL vs BISHOP'S STORTFORD

13/04 DARLINGTON vs FARSLEY
13/04 KING’S LYNN vs PETERBOROUGH
13/04 SOUTHPORT vs RUSHALL


The bottom four has not changed today, fourth bottom Rushall trail Darlington and Farsley by two points.

Rushall have given themselves a chance to stay up with Saturday’s win over Darlington.

Who goes down prediction? The bottom four sequence at the end of the season
Farsley on a weaker goal difference to Rushall, Banbury, Gloucester and;

Already relegated. Bishop’s Stortford


This week’s games

29/03 Friday
Darlington ........ vs Chorley
Alfreton .......... vs Rushall
Banbury ........... vs Hereford
Blyth ............... vs Curzon Ashton
Boston ............ vs Peterborough
Farsley .......... vs Southport
Gloucester ........ vs Brackley
Scunthorpe ...... vs King’s Lynn
Tamworth ......... vs Bishop’s Stortford

eddie-rowles
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Re: The Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

Post by eddie-rowles » Wed Mar 27, 2024 8:18 am

Reading all the permutations has butterflies in my stomach, dread and fear of ifs and buts; and I just know it will go to last game of the season. Bloody hell

jjljks
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Re: The Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

Post by jjljks » Wed Mar 27, 2024 8:31 am

eddie-rowles wrote:
Wed Mar 27, 2024 8:18 am
Reading all the permutations has butterflies in my stomach, dread and fear of ifs and buts; and I just know it will go to last game of the season. Bloody hell
Yes, but at least it feels like it is still in our own hands. Got to keep winning & clean sheets.

e4sby
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Re: The Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

Post by e4sby » Wed Mar 27, 2024 8:56 am

2 wins and we are safe!

I expect us to be mathematically safe by 5pm on 13th April

Old Git
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Re: The Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

Post by Old Git » Wed Mar 27, 2024 9:41 am

One thing that looks possible this season is that the magic 50 points target may not guarantee safety. I think we need a minimum of 2 more wins or 52 points to have a good chance of staying up. Another complication for us is that the 2 teams just above us, Farsley and Peterborough Sports, still have to play each other twice. Probably best for us if PS do the double and keep Farsley in trouble, especially with them having to come to BM.

JE93
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Re: The Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

Post by JE93 » Wed Mar 27, 2024 10:01 am

Feels like a straight shoot out to the end of the season between us, Rushall and Farsley.

Farsley: played 40, gd -17, pts 46
Fixtures remaining: Southport 15th (h), Spennymoor 8th (a), Peterborough Sports 18th (h), Peterborough Sports 18th (a), Darlington 20th (a), Buxton 14th (h)
L10games PPG: 0.5 (projected 49pts)
My projected finishing form: LLWDLL (projected 50pts)
Average position of remaining opponents: 15.5

Darlington played 41, gd -23, pts 46
Fixtures remaining: Chorley 4th (h), Warrington 12th (a), Southport 15th (h), Farsley 19th (h), Chester 10th (a)
L10games PPG: 2.1 (projected 56pts)
My predicted finishing form: LWDWD (projected 54pts)
Average position of remaining opponents: 12.0

Rushall: played 40, gd -14, pts 44
Fixtures remaining: Alfreton 7th (a), Boston 5th (h), Blyth 16th (a), Bishops Stortford 24th (h), Southport 15th (h), Warrington 12th (a)
L10games PPG: 1.0 (projected 50pts)
My predicted finishing form: LLDWLW (projected 51pts)
Average position of remaining opponents: 13.2

Farsley are in by far the worst form, but have the easiest run in with only Spennymoor in the top half to play. There have been signs of desperation from them. A director or football move from upstairs onto the coaching team to support the management team, and a 38yo coach registered to play to stop them shipping goals. They dont score many either which might be their undoing.

For us, two wins before the end of the season might be enough. I'd be certain three wins will see us safe. Especially if one of those can come against Farsley.

LoidLucan
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Re: The Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

Post by LoidLucan » Wed Mar 27, 2024 4:39 pm

Don't think Bishop's Stortford will be springing any surprises, including when they play Rushall. Steve Smith, their owner/manager, said: "April 20 can't come soon enough for me." He's still raging about being placed in the North rather than the South: "I lost half my squad. Financially it's crippled us. It's scandalous, disgusting."

Just 5 wins and 2 of the feckers against us..... don't even go there.... :evil:

JE93
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Re: The Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

Post by JE93 » Thu Mar 28, 2024 2:16 am

In the off field relegation stakes:

Saw Warrington have been given an extension to 30th April to have their ground upgrades completed and inspected to meet Cat B ground grading. Report said the ground had been initially inspected this week which I presume means inspected with the completed upgrades in mind and an expectation that these improvements will meet the Cat B criteria.

Nothing on Rushall yet. Presumably they will be applying for the same extension as otherwise their ground improvements would need to be completed by Friday (29th).

PierremontQuaker03
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Re: The Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

Post by PierremontQuaker03 » Thu Mar 28, 2024 7:23 am

Southport could be safe by the time we play them, hopefully they will have the cigars out!
“If you can't hit a driver, don't.”
Greg Norman

Old Git
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Re: The Bottom Ten, Tuesday Mar 26th 2024

Post by Old Git » Thu Mar 28, 2024 8:53 am

One thing that worries me a bit is that our 2 most winnable games are Southport and Farsley at home, both teams we never seen to beat at BM.

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